Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.045958 4.531905 5.060141 5.678131 6.382726 7.162677 8.093683
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.381940 4.033590 4.793834 5.750650 6.928804 8.339835 10.169368
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.943583 3.677785 4.580695 5.781679 7.350563 9.348689 12.115352
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.564025 3.322735 4.295480 5.647867 7.501114 9.983306 13.613021
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.309824 3.088323 4.122829 5.617371 7.753129 10.744167 15.337278
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.096709 2.880556 3.955239 5.561185 7.943194 11.415091 16.988216
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.005062 2.827826 3.990559 5.786398 8.549519 12.739958 19.772402
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.862634 2.686721 3.882105 5.782000 8.800381 13.540809 21.817300
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.728728 2.544942 3.757329 5.735411 8.972136 14.223124 23.736998
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.545739 2.313757 3.476925 5.416093 8.667642 14.087267 24.217024
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.462696 2.229559 3.415905 5.441172 8.930057 14.922791 26.521148
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.419703 2.204258 3.444490 5.613755 9.456060 16.264741 29.931141
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.350789 2.134155 3.398175 5.660860 9.777066 17.294124 32.927613
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.285325 2.064846 3.347629 5.695709 10.079153 18.322740 36.075835
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.223782 1.997270 3.294122 5.719077 10.359838 19.338440 39.342585
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.141678 1.888687 3.161425 5.585504 10.325683 19.726625 41.307047
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.083461 1.817294 3.088263 5.555117 10.487303 20.523324 44.291183
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.026305 1.743856 3.005936 5.499581 10.591469 21.209058 47.118132
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.013307 1.748305 3.064890 5.721960 11.285900 23.234126 53.466626
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.969942 1.694524 3.011997 5.717616 11.502352 24.232181 57.435384
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.924349 1.633716 2.941594 5.671611 11.623602 25.026999 61.009567
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.848612 1.512152 2.747595 5.356288 11.123128 24.324743 60.505481
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.819056 1.476409 2.717423 5.381054 11.386676 25.461801 65.199904